Simon Grimm
  • Blog

Hi there, I'm Simon Grimm. I am currently working on building a reliable early warning system to detect novel pandemics at the Nucleic Acid Observatory (NAO), working with Will Bradshaw, Jeff Kaufman, and others.

If you want to chat please reach out via email or Twitter. You can also find me on GitHub, Linkedin, and Goodreads.

Policy Briefs

Scaling US Pathogen Detection

Here we model how the US could dramatically scale up its pathogen detection capabilities at a funding level of $52M/year. The system design is both informed by modeling work, and NAO’s extensive experience piloting metagenomic biourveillance.
Sep 23, 2025
Simon Grimm, Lennart Justen, Jeff Kaufman

Scaling Pathogen Detection with Metagenomics

For the Institute for Progress’ Launch Sequence series, I describe how government deployment of metagenomic sequencing, combined with the increased use of frontier AI for data analysis, can identify both known and novel pathogens.
Aug 11, 2025
Simon Grimm

Accelerating the Defensive Deployment of Pathogen Sequencing

For the Techno-Industrial Policy Playbook—a collaboration by IFP, FAI, American Compass, and NAIA—I provide policy recommendations on how the US government can accelerate both environmental and clinical surveillance of new pathogen outbreaks.
May 6, 2025
Simon Grimm
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White Papers

Estimating the Sensitivity of Wastewater Metagenomic Sequencing using Nasal Swabs

Using sequencing data from both NAO’s wastewater and swab sampling system, we estimate the sensitivity of wastewater metagenomic sequencing for pathogen detection.
Jun 8, 2025
Simon Grimm, Dan Rice, Mike McLaren

Investigating the Sensitivity of Pooled Swab Sampling for Pathogen Early Detection

Will Bradshaw and I take existing swab sample sequencing data, adjust it to better represent samples from non-hospital settings, and use the results to model the likely sensitivity of a swab-sampling and metagenomics-based early detection system.
Jul 1, 2024
Simon Grimm, Will Bradshaw

Comparing Sampling Strategies for Early Detection of Stealth Biothreats

Will Bradshaw and I outline how to think about the benefits and drawbacks of different sampling strategies for the early detection of asymptomatically spreading pathogens. Frameworks like the ones discussed in the report are used by the NAO to assess various sampling strategies, like wastewater or swab sampling.
Feb 19, 2024
Will Bradshaw, Simon Grimm
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Preprints/Articles

Indoor Air Sampling for Detection of Viral Nucleic Acids

In this review we examine the sources and composition of viral bioaerosols, evaluate the benefits and drawbacks of air sampling technologies, and lay out strategies for effective implementation of air sampling programs.
Feb 27, 2025
Lennart Justen, Simon Grimm, Kevin Esvelt, Will Bradshaw

Inferring the Sensitivity of Wastewater Metagenomic Sequencing for Pathogen Early Detection

In this preprint, we create a modelling framework that combines epidemiological data and metagenomic sequencing data to infer the sensitivity and cost of wastewater metagenomic sequencing for pathogen early detection.
Jun 12, 2024
Simon Grimm, Jeff Kaufman, et al.
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Blog Posts

Germany’s slow move toward supply-side reform
Sep 29, 2023

On why talent sorting in Germany is flawed
Nov 1, 2022
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Adapted from marvinschmitt.com